Host-informed disease risk mapping

Host-informed disease risk mapping

Using host ecology, spatial models, and uncertainty propagation to improve predictions of schistosomiasis risk and guide multispecies survey design.

Project angle

This project asks how knowledge of intermediate host distributions can improve disease-risk prediction and identify where uncertainty limits inference.

Methods and outputs

• Species distribution models
• Host-informed risk mapping
• Uncertainty propagation
• Survey-priority mapping
• Reproducible spatial workflows

Publications / outputs

• Propagating uncertainty from biotic interactions in species distribution models guides multispecies survey design. K Mitchell, M Goodman, P Ravoniarimbinina, C Wood, N Lo, et al. 2026.